Research

Publications

Forecasts in Times of Crises  (joint with Theo S. Eicher, Chris Papageorgiou and Charis Christofides), forthcoming. International Journal of Forecasting. [IMF WP Version]

WTO Dispute Determinants, 2017, European Economic Review, 91 (January), 157-179. [WP Version]

The Elusive Effects of Trade on Growth: Export Diversity and Economic Take-off (joint with Theo S. Eicher), 2016, Canadian Journal of Economics, 49 (1), 264-295. [WP Version]

Working Papers

Constitutional Rules as Determinants of Social Infrastructure (joint with Theo S. Eicher and Cecilia García-Peñalosa), 2017. Revision requested.

European Influence and Economic Development (joint with Theo S. Eicher), 2017. Revision requested.

Do Trade Flows Respond to Nudges? Evidence from the WTO’s Trade Policy Review Mechanism, 2017. Revision requested.

WTO Tariff Commitments and Temporary Protection: Complements or Substitutes?, 2018.

Policy Papers and Other Publications

Sustaining Long-Run Growth and Macroeconomic Stability in Low-Income Countries – The Role of Structural Transformation and Diversification (joint with T.S. Choi, N.D. Duma, T. Eicher, C. Henn, N. Gigineishvili, G. Ho, C. Papageorgiou, A. Pitt,  S. Rosa, K. Wang), IMF Policy Paper, March 2014.